[While the approval of investment projects for pure electric passenger car companies that stopped last year will continue? 】 This is a huge investment, life and death gamble. Those who have already entered the game, and are in a hurry, do not stop attentively. It is by no means a matter of peace of mind. Those who have not entered the game are in desperation and are uneasy and can only do their best.
This is a random warfare with unparalleled success and failure. Participants from both inside and outside the industry are eager to hear the trend and show their best. None of them are willing to lose. The rules of competition vary from the past to the variable.
This is the current new energy automobile industry, calm is no longer.
During the two sessions of the National People's Congress in March, “new energy vehicles†did not unexpectedly become high-frequency vocabularies. The contents mentioned in the "Government Work Report", such as "the further expansion of opening up, and the extension of the vehicle purchase tax for another three years," are undoubtedly even more popular. The more so, the more letting some companies feel at ease. Because, in their minds, Yokohama is a very close but far-reaching "grant card." Everyone in this industry is eager to know: when will the approval of investment projects for newly-built pure electric passenger vehicles that will stop since last year continue? This represents the “gateway†for the first industrial level. Why do you get off the hook and restart?
â– Stop silently
Although strictly speaking, the approval of the National Development and Reform Commission's investment project does not mean that it is truly "qualified." The follow-up product sales must also be included in the company's and product announcements through the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's assessment. However, the automotive industry has become accustomed to shortening the first half of the process to " Get Qualified." Since the implementation of the "Regulations on the Management of Newly-built Pure Electric Passenger Cars" in July 2015, there have been 15 new construction companies that have crossed the gate of this "qualification" and have obtained "grant licenses". The final invoicing of the approved Jianghuai Volkswagen project approval document was May 16, 2017. Since then, the approved list has not been updated.
Although the government has remained silent about this, sources from various sources stated that the National Development and Reform Commission has suspended the approval of new investment projects for new energy passenger vehicles since late May last year.
"Surely it has been suspended for a long time. According to the document issued in 2015, more than 10 batches were approved. It was a bit out of control and different from what was expected. Therefore, it was urgently halted but it was not explicitly stated." As an expert who participated in the qualification review Wang Binggang, team leader of the National New Energy Automobile Innovation Engineering Experts Group, told reporters.
â– "Out of doors" of the big wronged
The suspension is already true, but it will not be known when it will be restarted. According to incomplete statistics, more than a hundred companies or teams in China that are queuing up or intending to enter the new energy vehicle industry are now facing the dilemma of “channel†cards being stuck and plans to disrupt. One of the most anxious and full of hardships is the few companies whose application process card suspended the node in May 2017.
There is an oolong event here. At the end of November 2017, it was discovered that in the publicity information issued by the National Development and Reform Commission's “Online Approval and Supervision Platform for National Investment Projectsâ€, Henan Senyuan Electric Vehicle Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 50,000 pure electric passenger car construction projects. The three projects including the new carbon fiber lightweight electric passenger car construction project of the New New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd. and the Kandy Electric Vehicle Jiangsu Co., Ltd. with an annual output of 50,000 pure electric passenger vehicles are shown in the approval results column. "by". In this regard, a number of news media, including the central media, interpreted it as the National Development and Reform Commission’s approval of restarting new energy vehicle projects. However, shortly after this, on the “Public Appraisal Platform for Online Approval of Investment Projects†publicity information on the examination and approval of items, the columns of the results of the approval of these three items were again displayed as “Otherâ€. Informed sources told reporters that according to the relevant provisions of the administrative examination and approval, the NDRC shall issue an audit result within 20 working days after receiving and receiving the assessment report. The above project audits have been extended for a long time. The publicity platform has successively displayed different results, namely "passing" and "other", which is inevitably somewhat strange, and may also be due to misunderstanding by the outside world. In fact, as of now, approval of new energy vehicle projects has not been restarted.
"It's a pity that the materials were reported in March and reviewed by experts, but they were stopped. The company was under pressure and invested a lot of manpower, financial resources, and energy. The development zone also made a lot of preparations for the layout, giving the company a lot of Resources have caused a certain impact on local stable development and the financial environment.†The head of Jiangsu Rugao Economic and Technological Development Zone told reporters that it is the Condé electric vehicle project that has settled down.
“The procedures we have to go through have all passed and conditions have been met. According to the relevant provisions of the administrative examination and approval, we originally thought we could be approved in May 2017. It happened to approve the suspension, and now it has been waiting for nearly a year. Huge, if dragged on again, the loss will be greater, endangering the normal operation of the enterprise, dragging down the enterprise.†Kang Di related person in charge quite grievance told reporters.
The application unit of Guoxin New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd. is Jiangsu Aoxin New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd. It was previously reported as "Investing in an annual production of 20,000 carbon fiber lightweight pure electric passenger vehicle construction projects" but it was not passed. "After being rectified, we once again declared that the experts considered the requirements to be met after the review, but it was very poorly accepted because of the suspension of the qualifications." The head of Guoxin Company sighed.
The person familiar with the matter told the reporter that Condi and Guoxin are key support enterprises in the field of new energy vehicles in Jiangsu Province. The project investment is huge and is currently being put on hold for long-term approval, resulting in significant losses for both enterprises and localities. "We can expect that if we continue to shelve, it will inevitably miss a precious policy dividend period." How to deal with this legacy problem, the government should indeed give companies a statement as soon as possible. "This person said.
â– True "squid" and fake "squid"
Objectively speaking, suspension of approval is also a ridiculous move and necessary move of the NDRC based on multiple factors. “The electric car technology level was generally poor at the time of the initial conditions, and many experts believe that it has been set stricter and the threshold is not low. It was found that the technological level was improved much faster than expected. The constant influx of capital, the local government’s Endorsed and promoted the rapid expansion of the scale,†Wang Binggang said. “This led to excessive approvals. There were only nine shortlisted in the first five months of 2017. Some of these levels were not too high, and there was a risk of overcapacity. ."
Looking at the 15 companies that have obtained qualifications - BAIC New Energy, Changjiang Automobile, Future Automobile, Chery New Energy, Jiangsu Min'an, Wanxiang Group, Jiangling New Energy, Chongqing Jinkang, Guoneng New Energy, Yundu New Energy, Zhidou, Sudar, Hezhong, Luzhou Zhouwan and Jianghuai VW, most of them have the background of traditional vehicle companies, and the rest are the transformation of suppliers, vehicle design companies, or low-speed vehicle companies. Almost every local government has its own shadow. The 15 overall innovation efforts are less than expected, and currently only a small number of five companies have entered the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology product announcement and can be listed for sale. This is in contrast with the government’s original desire to “put a few pieces of squid to stir the waterâ€. And the total production capacity of these 15 companies is nearly one million units. If we count more than a hundred families still applying for qualifications in line, as well as new energy automotive product plans for traditional car companies, the sales volume of domestic new energy vehicles will reach 2 million by 2020. Compared with expectations, there is no doubt that the capacity reserve exceeds the standard.
It is Henan Speed's approval that the negative voice will be pushed to the climax. This so-called new energy vehicle company has been plagued by negative news, affixed with labels such as "Zombie car companies," "in disguise for private fund-raising," and "unauthorized construction." The issuance of this "skillless card" has attracted a lot of criticism, and has also brought some public opinion pressure to the NDRC.
On June 4, 2016, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology jointly issued the Opinions on Improving the Management of Automotive Investment Projects, which mentioned that “Continuously improving the technical requirements and production access requirements for new energy vehicle investment projects and encouraging enterprises to increase the industrialization of new energy vehicles. "Capacity and skill level" releases signals that boost access barriers and further strict approvals.
“The government’s intentions we understand, but we cannot deny or delay the late applicants because of the unsatisfactory top 15. This is unfair to us.†A person in charge of a new car company that did not wish to be named told reporters.
Dilemma of supervision proposition
On the one hand, it is the good intention of the government to guide rational investment; on the other hand, it is the demand of the enterprise to seize the market opportunity. It also reflects a long-standing industry problem behind it: whether it is Yan Jinsong, or whether it is to be cautious, or strict or strict. tube?
Yin Chengliang, director of the Institute of Automobile Energy Saving Technology of Shanghai Jiaotong University, told reporters: “The government establishes thresholds and access conditions, and it is necessary and reasonable from an orderly management point of view.†In his view, the “threshold†is to a certain degree. It breeds market rent-seeking or power-seeking rent.
In China, many experts and scholars, such as Chen Qingtai, chairman of the China National Electric Vehicles Centennial Association, believe that liberalizing policy access conditions and strengthening post-regulation supervision can only lead to a trend towards the integration of electric vehicles and intelligent networks. Inspire the vitality of the market, otherwise it will be difficult to cultivate a real “squid†enterprise in accordance with the current strict environment. “Many countries have not established thresholds. They are characterized by easy access, strict law enforcement, and finally a virtuous cycle. Although there may be some confusion over time, they can be phased out through market actions, such as emphasizing strict follow-up. Legal supervision and market role, which will also allow investors to dare to invest in the previous period." Yin Chengliang said.
Wang Binggang believes that: "The United States is rigorously appraised and supervised after it is put into operation. China's management model is to first certify and post-production and sales. It is illegal to enter production without certification. China has a certain history and national conditions, and it does not invest in new energy vehicle investment. There may be a big change suddenly." He also mentioned: "The government should focus on safety, energy consumption, emissions and other aspects of strict management."
â– restart schedule is difficult to infer
When the qualification is approved to restart, how to restart? This has become the question to be solved by the manager and also tests the patience of the company.
"Some companies asked me what to do. I don't think it's better to do it first, look for qualified companies to cooperate, and learn from experience in production management, quality control, etc. I believe if quality and market response are good, sooner or later they will get qualifications. "Wang Binggang said.
When the reporter recently asked the relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission when to restart the qualification approval, the official did not give a clear answer, but also expressed a similar view: "Why do you have to apply for qualification yourself? You can cooperate with other companies to produce and sell products. â€
In fact, since the second half of 2017, some new car manufacturers have also adopted the “cooperative production†strategy while announcing that the first product will soon be on the ground. However, in the eyes of most companies, "borrowing children" is not a long-term solution. Crossing the "qualification gate" is still the number one goal in their minds.
Wu Songquan, chief expert of the China Automotive Technology and Research Center and director of the Policy Research Center, analyzed the reporter: “From the current situation, the acquisition of existing fuel vehicle companies is also a viable option.†At the beginning of this year, Weima Motors, a representative of the new car manufacturers, It is through the way of controlling Zhongshun Automobile that the curve has obtained the qualification for new energy vehicle production.
The reporter was informed that during the two sessions of the National Development and Reform Commission this year, the Development and Reform Commission responded to Zeng Qinghong, deputy to the National People's Congress, Secretary of the Party Committee of Guangqi Group, and Chairman Zeng Qinghong’s proposal to “renew the license approval for new energy vehicles as soon as possibleâ€. In response, the NDRC made clear two points of information: First, it is clearing and standardizing investment in new energy vehicles so that the industry can make advancements and avoid overheating; second, it should be handled as soon as possible after the revised “Regulations on the Management of Newly-built Pure Electric Passenger Vehicles†is issued.
Undoubtedly, both the “cleaning up of regulations†and the “revised release†issues will take time. It is difficult to extrapolate how long it will take for approval to suspend for nearly a year now.
Right now, what is most affecting is the unknown timetable. For enterprises, apart from stepping up product development, it is the most important thing to enter the “qualification gate†as soon as possible.
How many companies can truly grasp the subsidy for new energy vehicles and retreat from foreign capital brands to enter the previous “window period†and “opportunity period� Can those companies that are full of anxiety and grievances “run at most once as requested by Premier Li Keqiang?†“At this moment, the “cleaning standards†and “revised and released†of the new energy automotive industry are not only related to the fate of the company, but also affecting the direction of industrial development. They also test the credibility and service level of the government authorities.
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